La escuela de los momios

Corinthians-SP v Platense

Inicio: 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Final: Corinthians-SP 0–2 Platense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians-SP (Local)

Predicción 55.45%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.44%55.40%56.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.66%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Platense (Visitante)

Predicción 16.80%5.95momio equitativo
EV +9.22%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.155%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.41%16.87%16.90%18.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.625.616.5020.83%17.80%17.83%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.75%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.74%27.70%27.70%28.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.343.353.5231.25%29.93%29.85%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.77%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +9.22%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 00:19
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 23:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-28 00:18
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.49%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.92%EV +0.148%E +0.025%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:20
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.40%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:09
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.35%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 23:59
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 23:59
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 23:59
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.58%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.42%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -2.34%E -0.664%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 00:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.40%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 00:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 00:09
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.46%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -4.22%E -0.741%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:09
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.82%EV -5.57%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:10
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 23:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 00:19
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.34%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.79%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 00:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 00:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.53%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:07
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -10.94%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -11.78%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -14.30%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 23:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-27 23:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.29%2.4%2026-05-28 00:20