L’École des cotes

Corinthians-SP v Platense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Score final : Corinthians-SP 0–2 Platense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Corinthians-SP (Local)

Prévision 55.45%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.48%55.44%55.40%56.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.66%59.52%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Platense (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.80%5.95cote équitable
EV +9.22%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.155%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.41%16.87%16.90%18.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.625.616.5020.83%17.80%17.83%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.75%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.74%27.70%27.70%28.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.343.353.5231.25%29.93%29.85%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.77%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +9.22%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 00:19
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 23:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV +0.820%E +0.137%K +0.164%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-28 00:18
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.49%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.92%EV +0.148%E +0.025%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:20
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.36%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.42%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.62%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.40%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:09
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.35%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 23:59
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 23:59
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -2.54%E -0.438%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 23:59
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.58%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.42%EV -2.71%E -0.468%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.00%EV -2.34%E -0.664%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 00:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.40%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 00:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -3.38%E -0.588%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 00:09
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.46%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -4.22%E -0.741%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:09
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.82%EV -5.57%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 00:10
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -9.61%E -5.90%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -5.90%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 23:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.58%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 00:19
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.34%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 00:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.79%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 00:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.58%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 00:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 00:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 00:19
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.53%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -9.26%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:07
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -10.94%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-28 00:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -11.78%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -14.30%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 23:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-27 23:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.29%2.4%2026-05-28 00:20