Language:English
Club Bolívar v Fluminense-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Club Bolívar (Local)
Prediction 45.94%2.18fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.04%45.91%47.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.992.002.0653.76%50.23%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fluminense-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 27.66%3.62fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.630%
Kelly +0.863%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.66%27.70%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.343.353.7033.90%29.92%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -0.971%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.353%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.29%26.39%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.503.523.7531.75%28.56%28.37%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Bolívar (Local): 45.94%; Fluminense-RJ (Visit): 27.66%; Draw: 26.41%. For Fluminense-RJ (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +2.33%E +0.630%K +0.863%G +0.020% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +2.33%E +0.630%K +0.863%G +0.020% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -0.435%E -0.121%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -9.97%E -5.08%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -2.65%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -0.971%E -0.259%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.20%E -0.915%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.56%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.47%EV -5.99%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 11:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 11:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 16:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.78%EV -9.01%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -0.971%E -0.259%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.69%EV -7.67%E -3.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.88%EV -12.05%E -3.79%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.44%EV -4.67%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.40%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -15.65%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.32%EV -14.10%E -7.54%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.78%EV -15.65%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.90%EV -16.82%E -5.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 28.67%EV -16.48%E -5.46%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -12.85%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -14.56%E -7.83%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -18.41%E -6.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -15.50%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |