L’École des cotesFrançais
Club Bolívar v Fluminense-RJ
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Club Bolívar (Local)
Prévision 45.94%2.18cote équitable
EV -5.37%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -5.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%46.04%45.91%47.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.992.002.0653.76%50.23%50.00%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fluminense-RJ (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.66%3.62cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.630%
Kelly +0.863%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.66%27.70%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.343.353.7033.90%29.92%29.85%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.41%3.79cote équitable
EV -0.971%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.353%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%26.29%26.39%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.503.523.7531.75%28.56%28.37%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +2.33%E +0.630%K +0.863%G +0.020% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +2.33%E +0.630%K +0.863%G +0.020% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -0.435%E -0.121%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -9.97%E -5.08%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -2.65%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -0.971%E -0.259%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.20%E -0.915%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 14:00 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.56%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.47%EV -5.99%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 11:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 11:23 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 16:13 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.78%EV -9.01%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -0.971%E -0.259%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Suprabets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.69%EV -7.67%E -3.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.88%EV -12.05%E -3.79%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.44%EV -4.67%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.40%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -15.65%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.32%EV -14.10%E -7.54%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.78%EV -15.65%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.90%EV -16.82%E -5.34%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 28.67%EV -16.48%E -5.46%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -12.85%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -14.56%E -7.83%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -18.41%E -6.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -15.50%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |