A Escola das Odds

Club Bolívar v Fluminense-RJ

Início: 2026-04-30 22:00 UTC

Final: Club Bolívar 2–0 Fluminense-RJ

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Club Bolívar (Local)

Previsão 45.94%2.18odd justa
EV -5.37%
Vantagem -2.61%
Kelly -5.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.77%46.04%45.91%47.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.861.992.002.0653.76%50.23%50.00%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense-RJ (Visitante)

Previsão 27.66%3.62odd justa
EV +2.33%
Vantagem +0.630%
Kelly +0.863%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%27.66%27.70%28.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.343.353.7033.90%29.92%29.85%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.41%3.79odd justa
EV -0.971%
Vantagem -0.259%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.25%26.29%26.39%26.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.503.523.7531.75%28.56%28.37%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +2.33%E +0.630%K +0.863%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 13:59
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV +2.33%E +0.630%K +0.863%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.34%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 14:00
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -0.435%E -0.121%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 14:00
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 14:00
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.51%E -4.83%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -9.97%E -5.08%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -1.82%E -0.512%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:00
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -2.65%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -0.971%E -0.259%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 10:04
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.20%E -0.915%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:14
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 13:59
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.58%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 14:00
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.56%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.47%EV -5.99%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 00:14
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -9.05%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:04
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.29%E -0.619%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:28
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:14
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:14
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:25
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:23
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:13
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 16:49
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 16:13
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.78%EV -9.01%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -0.971%E -0.259%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 11:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 45.69%EV -7.67%E -3.82%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.88%EV -12.05%E -3.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.44%EV -4.67%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:52
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 16:50
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 16:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 16:49
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.40%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -15.65%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-21 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 45.32%EV -14.10%E -7.54%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.78%EV -15.65%E -5.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.90%EV -16.82%E -5.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-21 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.67%EV -16.48%E -5.46%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -12.85%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 07:11
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -14.56%E -7.83%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -18.41%E -6.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -15.50%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-21 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%13.5%2026-04-23 22:05