Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.00
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 4.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Always Ready (Local): 16.63%; Mirassol (Visit): 60.68%; Draw: 22.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.273%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -5.88%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.40%EV -5.33%E -3.42%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.67%EV +0.273%E +0.062%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.55%E -0.612%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -2.90%E -1.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.55%E -0.612%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -2.90%E -1.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.10%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 22:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.45%E -0.570%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.01%EV -15.52%E -3.06%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 18:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.69%EV -6.38%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.69%EV -6.08%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.64%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 17:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -11.87%E -2.24%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.38%E -0.762%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -8.12%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.38%E -0.762%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 20:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -10.19%E -6.88%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -10.79%E -7.34%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-19 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.61%E -8.76%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -22.87%E -6.73%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-19 22:27 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.92% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.43% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |