La escuela de los momios

Club Always Ready v Mirassol

Inicio: 2026-05-20 00:00 UTC

Final: Club Always Ready 1–2 Mirassol

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Always Ready (Local)

Predicción 16.63%6.01momio equitativo
EV -0.225%
Ventaja -0.038%
Kelly -0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.38%16.70%16.61%18.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.525.506.0020.00%18.10%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Predicción 60.68%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.22%60.71%60.76%62.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.521.6069.44%65.65%65.79%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.69%4.41momio equitativo
EV +0.273%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.080%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.48%22.59%22.62%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.104.104.4229.41%24.42%24.39%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -5.88%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.40%EV -5.33%E -3.42%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.67%EV +0.273%E +0.062%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.55%E -0.612%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -2.90%E -1.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 22:59
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.55%E -0.612%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -2.90%E -1.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 22:59
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:59
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Suprabets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.10%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 22:36
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.45%E -0.570%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 22:39
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 22:39
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:38
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Pinnacle5.08I 19.69%NM 18.01%EV -15.52%E -3.06%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 22:59
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 22:39
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 18:40
GTbets5.63I 17.76%NM 16.69%EV -6.38%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.69%EV -6.08%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Coolbet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.64%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 17:59
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -11.87%E -2.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 22:39
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 22:39
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.38%E -0.762%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -8.12%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:58
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.38%E -0.762%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:59
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 20:20
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 20:20
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 22:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 20:19
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 21:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -10.19%E -6.88%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -10.79%E -7.34%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.61%E -8.76%K -28.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -22.87%E -6.73%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-19 22:27
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.92%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%2.4%2026-05-19 23:00