L’École des cotes

Club Always Ready v Mirassol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 00:00 UTC

Score final : Club Always Ready 1–2 Mirassol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Club Always Ready (Local)

Prévision 16.63%6.01cote équitable
EV -0.225%
Avantage -0.038%
Kelly -0.045%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.38%16.70%16.61%18.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.525.506.0020.00%18.10%18.18%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirassol (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.68%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -4.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.22%60.71%60.76%62.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.6069.44%65.65%65.79%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.69%4.41cote équitable
EV +0.273%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.080%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.48%22.59%22.62%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.104.104.4229.41%24.42%24.39%22.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -5.88%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.40%EV -5.33%E -3.42%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.67%EV +0.273%E +0.062%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.55%E -0.612%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -2.90%E -1.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 22:59
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -3.55%E -0.612%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -2.90%E -1.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 22:59
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:59
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.181%E -0.041%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 22:39
Suprabets5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.10%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 22:36
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.77%E -0.409%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 22:39
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.45%E -0.570%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 22:39
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 22:39
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:38
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Pinnacle5.08I 19.69%NM 18.01%EV -15.52%E -3.06%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 22:59
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 22:39
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.21%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -5.85%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 18:40
GTbets5.63I 17.76%NM 16.69%EV -6.38%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.69%EV -6.08%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 20:20
Coolbet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV -1.89%E -0.320%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.64%EV -4.72%E -3.01%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 17:59
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -11.87%E -2.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 22:59
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 22:39
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 22:39
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.58%E -6.43%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 22:39
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -4.38%E -0.762%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -8.12%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 22:58
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -4.38%E -0.762%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:59
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 20:20
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 20:20
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.94%E -3.83%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 22:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.55%E -4.25%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.225%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 20:19
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 21:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.15%E -4.67%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.26%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -6.88%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.76%E -5.10%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 22:59
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -10.20%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -10.19%E -6.88%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.85%E -3.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -10.79%E -7.34%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 22:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.70%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.97%E -5.98%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -8.54%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.61%E -8.76%K -28.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -22.87%E -6.73%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-19 22:27
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.08%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.92%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%2.4%2026-05-19 23:00