Language:English
CA Juventud v Independiente Medellín
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CA Juventud (Local)
Prediction 26.63%3.75fair odd
EV -0.129%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.67%26.52%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.78%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Medellín (Visit)
Prediction 43.05%2.32fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%42.96%43.18%44.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.66%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.32%3.30fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.37%30.31%31.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.2035.71%32.81%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CA Juventud (Local): 26.63%; Independiente Medellín (Visit): 43.05%; Draw: 30.32%. For CA Juventud (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.755. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.129%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.44%EV -4.86%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -0.661%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.87%EV -6.58%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.61%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -2.79%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 23:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -3.32%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 23:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -3.59%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.51%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.50%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%EV -2.99%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 22:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.25%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.03%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.72%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.58%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -7.01%E -3.25%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -2.99%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.25%E -3.04%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-05 21:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.78%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |