La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CA Juventud v Independiente Medellín
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CA Juventud (Local)
Predicción 26.63%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.129%
Ventaja -0.034%
Kelly -0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%26.67%26.52%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.78%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Medellín (Visitante)
Predicción 43.05%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.48%42.96%43.18%44.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.66%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.32%3.30momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.933%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.16%30.37%30.31%31.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.053.2035.71%32.81%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.44%EV -4.86%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -0.661%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.87%EV -6.58%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.61%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Everygame | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -2.79%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 23:15 |
| Suprabets | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -3.32%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 23:12 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -3.59%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.51%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.50%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%EV -2.99%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 22:18 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| GTbets | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.25%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.03%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.72%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.58%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -7.01%E -3.25%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -2.99%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:19 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.25%E -3.04%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-05 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-05 21:47 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.78%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 00:01 |