A Escola das Odds

CA Juventud v Independiente Medellín

Início: 2026-03-06 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CA Juventud (Local)

Previsão 26.63%3.75odd justa
EV -0.129%
Vantagem -0.034%
Kelly -0.047%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.42%26.67%26.52%28.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.473.503.7531.25%28.78%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Medellín (Visitante)

Previsão 43.05%2.32odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.48%42.96%43.18%44.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.66%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.32%3.30odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.933%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.16%30.37%30.31%31.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.053.2035.71%32.81%32.79%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.44%EV -4.86%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 00:00
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:45
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -0.129%E -0.034%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 21:45
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -0.661%E -0.177%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.87%EV -6.58%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.61%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -2.79%E -0.765%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 23:15
Suprabets3.63I 27.55%NM 25.73%EV -3.32%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 23:12
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -3.59%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.51%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 23:59
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.50%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%EV -2.99%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 22:18
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:00
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.25%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.03%EV -7.87%E -3.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.72%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 00:01
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:01
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.58%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV -7.01%E -3.25%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 00:00
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 00:00
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 22:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 21:50
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 00:00
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 21:45
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 00:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 00:00
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 00:00
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -2.99%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:19
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.25%E -3.04%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 23:59
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 00:00
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 00:00
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-05 21:47
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-05 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-05 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-05 22:00
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-05 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.11%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.44%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.90%E -6.95%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-05 21:45
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.78%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.75%E -5.73%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-06 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-03-06 00:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.0%2026-03-06 00:01