Language:English
Barcelona SC v Boca Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barcelona SC (Local)
Prediction 21.23%4.71fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.483%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.61%21.33%21.03%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.404.454.8225.64%22.73%22.47%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.67%48.90%49.03%50.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.71%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.94%29.78%29.94%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.30%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barcelona SC (Local): 21.23%; Boca Juniors (Visit): 48.94%; Draw: 29.83%. For Barcelona SC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.95%EV +2.33%E +0.483%K +0.610%G +0.014% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.09%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -0.219%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -3.04%E -0.935%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -0.219%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -3.04%E -0.935%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -1.28%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -1.28%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.74%EV -1.92%E -0.415%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.40%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.86%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.34%E -0.509%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.34%E -0.509%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -7.51%E -3.97%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.10%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 20:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -17.20%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-05 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |