L’École des cotes

Barcelona SC v Boca Juniors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 00:00 UTC

Score final : Barcelona SC 1–0 Boca Juniors

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barcelona SC (Local)

Prévision 21.23%4.71cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.483%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.61%21.33%21.03%22.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.404.454.8225.64%22.73%22.47%20.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boca Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.94%2.04cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.67%48.90%49.03%50.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.71%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.83%3.35cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.935%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.94%29.78%29.94%31.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.30%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 19.95%EV +2.33%E +0.483%K +0.610%G +0.014%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.09%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:30
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:29
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -0.219%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -3.04%E -0.935%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -0.219%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -3.04%E -0.935%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 21:30
LowVig.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -1.28%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:14
BetOnline.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -1.28%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:15
1xBet4.62I 21.65%NM 20.74%EV -1.92%E -0.415%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.40%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.86%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.34%E -0.509%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:34
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.34%E -0.509%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:30
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:00
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 20:00
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 19:59
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -7.51%E -3.97%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:30
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 21:30
GTbets4.46I 22.42%NM 21.10%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:20
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:15
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:30
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 19:59
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 19:59
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 19:59
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:15
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 21:30
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 21:15
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 21:30
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 20:00
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 21:15
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 19:59
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 19:59
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:29
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -17.20%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-05 19:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.6%2026-05-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.6%2026-05-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-05-05 21:35