La scuola delle quote

Barcelona SC v Boca Juniors

Inizio: 2026-05-06 00:00 UTC

Finale: Barcelona SC 1–0 Boca Juniors

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona SC (Casa)

Previsione 21.23%4.71quota equa
EV +2.33%
Vantaggio +0.483%
Kelly +0.610%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.61%21.33%21.03%22.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.404.454.8225.64%22.73%22.47%20.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boca Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.94%2.04quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.67%48.90%49.03%50.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.71%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.83%3.35quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -0.935%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.94%29.78%29.94%31.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.30%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 19.95%EV +2.33%E +0.483%K +0.610%G +0.014%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.09%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:30
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +0.843%E +0.177%K +0.225%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:29
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -0.219%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -3.04%E -0.935%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 21:30
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%EV -0.219%E -0.047%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%EV -2.13%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%EV -3.04%E -0.935%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 21:30
LowVig.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -1.28%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:14
BetOnline.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.52%EV -1.28%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.95%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -3.63%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:15
1xBet4.62I 21.65%NM 20.74%EV -1.92%E -0.415%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.40%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.86%EV -4.23%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 21:35
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.34%E -0.509%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:34
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.34%E -0.509%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 21:30
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:35
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:00
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 19:59
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 20:00
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 19:59
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -7.51%E -3.97%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 21:30
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.46%E -0.992%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 21:30
GTbets4.46I 22.42%NM 21.10%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 21:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:35
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -5.53%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 21:20
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:15
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:30
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 21:30
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 19:59
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 19:59
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -7.65%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-05 19:59
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 21:35
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 21:15
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.71%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 21:30
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.77%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -4.53%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 21:15
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 21:30
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 20:00
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.83%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.51%E -2.42%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 21:15
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -12.96%E -3.16%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.67%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 19:59
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.04%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:59
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 19:59
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:30
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.08%E -3.77%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-05 21:29
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -17.20%E -4.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -8.98%E -4.83%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.00%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-05 19:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.6%2026-05-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.6%2026-05-05 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-05-05 21:35
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-05-05 21:35