Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Argentinos Jrs v Barcelona SC

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Argentinos Jrs (Local)

Prediction 60.81%1.64fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.73%60.89%60.52%62.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.511.5869.44%66.46%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barcelona SC (Visit)

Prediction 15.03%6.66fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +0.740%
Kelly +0.863%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.36%15.01%15.20%16.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.296.407.0018.52%15.91%15.63%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV -0.461%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.06%24.10%24.28%24.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.843.804.1228.17%26.01%26.32%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Argentinos Jrs (Local): 60.81%; Barcelona SC (Visit): 15.03%; Draw: 24.16%. For Barcelona SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.66. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 22:14
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV +1.42%E +0.211%K +0.247%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV +1.42%E +0.211%K +0.247%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -0.832%E -0.126%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -0.832%E -0.126%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.45%EV -1.58%E -0.242%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.86%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 20:25
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 23:55
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.39%EV -3.91%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.06%EV -3.24%E -0.503%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.54%EV -0.461%E -0.112%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:19
Suprabets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.83%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.58%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:24
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:24
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.90%EV -4.89%E -0.772%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.46%EV -2.88%E -0.716%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 21:18
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:25
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 23:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.85%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 00:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.10%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -12.85%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 15:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.42%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-26 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.46%EV -15.86%E -2.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -14.23%E -4.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-26 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.86%E -3.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-25 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-02-26 00:25