L’École des cotes

Argentinos Jrs v Barcelona SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Argentinos Jrs (Local)

Prévision 60.81%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.48%
Kelly -6.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.73%60.89%60.52%62.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.511.5869.44%66.46%66.23%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barcelona SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.03%6.66cote équitable
EV +5.18%
Avantage +0.740%
Kelly +0.863%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.36%15.01%15.20%16.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.296.407.0018.52%15.91%15.63%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.16%4.14cote équitable
EV -0.461%
Avantage -0.112%
Kelly -0.148%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.06%24.10%24.28%24.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.843.804.1228.17%26.01%26.32%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 22:14
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV +1.42%E +0.211%K +0.247%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV +1.42%E +0.211%K +0.247%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:25
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -0.832%E -0.126%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -0.832%E -0.126%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:30
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.45%EV -1.58%E -0.242%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.86%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 20:25
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:34
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 20:39
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 23:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.39%EV -3.91%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.06%EV -3.24%E -0.503%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.54%EV -0.461%E -0.112%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:19
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.83%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.58%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:35
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:24
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:24
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.90%EV -4.89%E -0.772%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.46%EV -2.88%E -0.716%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 12:10
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 21:18
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 23:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.85%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 00:19
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.10%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -12.85%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 15:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.42%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-26 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.46%EV -15.86%E -2.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -14.23%E -4.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-26 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:39
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.86%E -3.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-25 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-02-26 00:25