La escuela de los momios

Argentinos Jrs v Barcelona SC

Inicio: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Argentinos Jrs (Local)

Predicción 60.81%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -6.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.73%60.89%60.52%62.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.511.5869.44%66.46%66.23%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barcelona SC (Visitante)

Predicción 15.03%6.66momio equitativo
EV +5.18%
Ventaja +0.740%
Kelly +0.863%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.36%15.01%15.20%16.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.296.407.0018.52%15.91%15.63%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.16%4.14momio equitativo
EV -0.461%
Ventaja -0.112%
Kelly -0.148%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.06%24.10%24.28%24.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.843.804.1228.17%26.01%26.32%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 22:14
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:24
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:24
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +5.18%E +0.740%K +0.863%G +0.045%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV +1.42%E +0.211%K +0.247%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.08%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV +1.42%E +0.211%K +0.247%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 00:25
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -0.832%E -0.126%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -0.832%E -0.126%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.28%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:30
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.45%EV -1.58%E -0.242%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.86%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:25
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.59%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 20:25
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:34
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.21%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 20:39
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -2.33%E -0.359%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 23:55
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.39%EV -3.91%E -2.48%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 15.06%EV -3.24%E -0.503%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.54%EV -0.461%E -0.112%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:19
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.83%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.58%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:35
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -7.23%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:24
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV -3.84%E -0.600%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 10:24
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.90%EV -4.89%E -0.772%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.46%EV -2.88%E -0.716%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:15
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -0.944%E -0.230%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 00:24
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 12:10
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.74%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -6.09%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -2.15%E -0.531%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 21:18
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.85%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 23:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.85%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 00:19
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.10%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -12.85%E -2.22%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-25 15:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-26 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.42%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -13.60%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-26 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.46%EV -15.86%E -2.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -14.23%E -4.01%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-26 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -17.36%E -3.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 09:39
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.86%E -3.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-25 15:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-02-26 00:25