默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toluca v Los Angeles FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 03:10 UTC

最终结果: Toluca 0–1 Los Angeles FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toluca (主队)

预测 35.20%2.84公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.512%
Kelly -0.796%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.67%35.25%35.16%36.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.35%38.46%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles FC (客队)

预测 39.79%2.51公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.13%39.83%39.59%41.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.362.342.4545.45%42.44%42.64%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.01%4.00公平赔率
EV +4.28%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.058%

假设最高赔率为 4.17

博彩公司预测分布
22.94%24.92%25.25%26.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.683.604.1729.41%27.18%27.78%23.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Toluca (主队):35.20%;Los Angeles FC (客队):39.79%;平局:25.01%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.00。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.17,对应+4.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.66%E -2.11%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.08%EV -6.89%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.05%EV +4.28%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.058%4.0%2026-08-09 03:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV +2.53%E +0.618%K +0.817%G +0.021%6.3%2026-08-09 02:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 03:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -10.47%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 03:00
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 02:59
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -3.54%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.65%EV -6.89%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.64%EV -3.47%E -0.899%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 03:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -3.72%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 02:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%EV -1.43%E -0.512%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 02:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 03:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 03:05
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 02:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.47%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 02:59
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.14%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 02:39
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.14%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 03:05
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:03
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 02:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 02:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 02:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-08-09 03:05
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.39%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-08-09 03:05