L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Toluca v Los Angeles FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 03:10 UTC

Score final : Toluca 0–1 Los Angeles FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca (Local)

Prévision 35.20%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.796%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.67%35.25%35.16%36.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.35%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.79%2.51cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.13%39.83%39.59%41.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.342.4545.45%42.44%42.64%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV +4.28%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.94%24.92%25.25%26.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.683.604.1729.41%27.18%27.78%23.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 35.20% ; Los Angeles FC (Visiteur) : 39.79% ; Match nul : 25.01%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.00. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.17, soit une espérance positive de +4.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.66%E -2.11%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.08%EV -6.89%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.05%EV +4.28%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.058%4.0%2026-08-09 03:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV +2.53%E +0.618%K +0.817%G +0.021%6.3%2026-08-09 02:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 03:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -10.47%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 03:00
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 02:59
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -3.54%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.65%EV -6.89%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.64%EV -3.47%E -0.899%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 03:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -3.72%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 02:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%EV -1.43%E -0.512%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 02:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 03:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 03:05
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 02:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.47%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 02:59
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.14%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 02:39
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.14%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 03:05
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:03
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 02:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 02:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 02:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-08-09 03:05
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.39%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-08-09 03:05