StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca v Los Angeles FC

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 03:10 UTC

Slutresultat: Toluca 0–1 Los Angeles FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca (Hemma)

Prognos 35.20%2.84rättvist odds
EV -1.43%
Fördel -0.512%
Kelly -0.796%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.67%35.25%35.16%36.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.35%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles FC (Borta)

Prognos 39.79%2.51rättvist odds
EV -2.52%
Fördel -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.13%39.83%39.59%41.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.362.342.4545.45%42.44%42.64%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.01%4.00rättvist odds
EV +4.28%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.35%
Tillväxt +0.058%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.17

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.94%24.92%25.25%26.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.683.604.1729.41%27.18%27.78%23.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Toluca (Hemma): 35.20%; Los Angeles FC (Borta): 39.79%; Oavgjort: 25.01%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.00. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.17, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.28%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.66%E -2.11%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.08%EV -6.89%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.05%EV +4.28%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.058%4.0%2026-08-09 03:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV +2.53%E +0.618%K +0.817%G +0.021%6.3%2026-08-09 02:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 03:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -10.47%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 03:00
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 02:59
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -3.54%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.65%EV -6.89%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.64%EV -3.47%E -0.899%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 03:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -3.72%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 02:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%EV -1.43%E -0.512%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 02:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 03:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 03:05
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 03:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 02:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.47%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 02:59
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.14%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 02:39
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.14%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:59
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 03:00
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.52%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 02:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 03:05
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:03
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 02:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.46%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 02:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 02:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -14.97%E -4.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 02:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-08-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-08-09 03:05
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.39%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.8%2026-08-09 03:05