The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Sounders FC v Guadalajara

2026-08-13 02:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.39%30.82%30.77%32.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.2036.36%33.80%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Visit)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%42.98%42.86%44.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.2750.00%45.95%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.08%26.20%26.38%27.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.603.7030.77%28.36%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 30.82%; Guadalajara (Visit): 42.88%; Draw: 26.30%. For Seattle Sounders FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -1.38%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.38%E -0.430%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 13:01
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -1.38%E -0.430%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 13:05
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 13:04
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 13:04
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.00%EV -7.38%E -3.42%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 13:15
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.58%EV -2.67%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 13:10
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 13:04
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 13:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -9.10%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 13:04
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -9.10%E -4.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 13:04
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 13:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.52%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -4.38%E -1.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:09
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 13:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 13:03
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 13:04
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 13:04
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -9.96%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-11 13:05
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -12.16%E -4.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -3.52%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.10%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -2.68%E -0.725%K -0.994%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -15.25%E -5.54%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -4.00%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-11 13:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%5.4%2026-08-11 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%5.4%2026-08-11 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%5.4%2026-08-11 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 31.92%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%5.8%2026-08-11 13:20

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