Language:English
Seattle Sounders FC v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Sounders FC (Local)
Prediction 19.59%5.10fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.06%19.52%19.53%22.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.144.584.405.5024.15%21.84%22.73%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 59.38%1.68fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.43%59.42%59.45%62.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.591.6466.67%63.12%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.03%4.76fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.99%21.07%21.03%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.505.0125.00%22.69%22.22%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 19.59%; Guadalajara (Visit): 59.38%; Draw: 21.03%. For Seattle Sounders FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +7.75%E +1.41%K +1.72%G +0.134% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.26%E -0.709%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 02:22 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +3.83%E +0.723%K +0.892%G +0.034% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -0.085%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.57%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -2.21%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -2.21%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 02:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.59%EV -5.18%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.62%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.79%EV -4.10%E -0.900%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.37%E -4.72%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.89%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -8.56%E -5.56%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.57%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -15.17%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -8.94%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -16.74%E -3.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.98%EV -18.89%E -4.56%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.02%EV -2.62%E -1.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.99%EV +5.36%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.072% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61% | 2.9% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |