Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Sounders FC v Guadalajara

2026-08-13 02:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Predicción 31.04%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.672%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.305%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.99%30.97%31.04%32.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.013.2036.36%32.78%33.17%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Guadalajara (Visitante)

Predicción 42.82%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.44%42.98%42.80%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.082.2550.00%47.35%48.19%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.14%3.83momio equitativo
EV +0.620%
Ventaja +0.161%
Kelly +0.218%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.08%26.05%26.16%27.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.553.603.8531.25%28.17%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 31.04%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 42.82%; Empate: 26.14%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.83. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.85, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.620%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -7.07%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.620%E +0.161%K +0.218%G +0.001%5.4%2026-08-11 14:10
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.687%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -10.92%E -5.25%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-11 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -12.21%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-11 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.09%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.21%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-11 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -14.35%E -7.18%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-11 13:04
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 13:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 13:41
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:30
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:30
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:30
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:30
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 13:29
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -11.78%E -5.72%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -0.672%E -0.210%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -12.21%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 13:30
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -9.21%E -4.35%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 13:04
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -9.21%E -4.35%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 13:04
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 14:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 14:05
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.86%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.88%EV -8.79%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 14:15
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 14:15
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.75%EV -5.95%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.16%EV -5.36%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 14:08
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 14:01
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 13:09
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.09%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-11 13:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -16.37%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 14:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -16.37%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -16.37%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -16.37%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 14:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-08-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%6.0%2026-08-11 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%6.0%2026-08-11 14:15
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%6.4%2026-08-11 14:15

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