Idioma:Español
Seattle Sounders FC v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Sounders FC (Local)
Predicción 19.59%5.10momio equitativo
EV +7.75%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.134%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.06%19.52%19.53%22.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.144.584.405.5024.15%21.84%22.73%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 59.38%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -4.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.43%59.42%59.45%62.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.591.6466.67%63.12%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.03%4.76momio equitativo
EV +5.36%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.99%21.07%21.03%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.505.0125.00%22.69%22.22%19.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 19.59%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 59.38%; Empate: 21.03%. Para Seattle Sounders FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.10. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.75%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +7.75%E +1.41%K +1.72%G +0.134% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.26%E -0.709%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 02:22 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +3.83%E +0.723%K +0.892%G +0.034% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -0.085%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.57%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -2.21%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -2.21%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 01:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 02:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.59%EV -5.18%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.62%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.79%EV -4.10%E -0.900%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.37%E -4.72%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.89%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 01:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -8.56%E -5.56%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.57%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-13 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -15.17%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -8.94%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -16.74%E -3.94%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.98%EV -18.89%E -4.56%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.02%EV -2.62%E -1.60%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 18.99%EV +5.36%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.072% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 02:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61% | 2.9% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |