Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Sounders FC v Guadalajara

Início: 2026-08-13 02:30 UTC

Final: Seattle Sounders FC 1–2 Guadalajara

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Previsão 19.59%5.10odd justa
EV +7.75%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.72%
Crescimento +0.134%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.06%19.52%19.53%22.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.144.584.405.5024.15%21.84%22.73%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Guadalajara (Visitante)

Previsão 59.38%1.68odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -4.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.43%59.42%59.45%62.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.591.6466.67%63.12%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.03%4.76odd justa
EV +5.36%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescimento +0.072%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.99%21.07%21.03%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.414.505.0125.00%22.69%22.22%19.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 19.59%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 59.38%; Empate: 21.03%. Para Seattle Sounders FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.10. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +7.75%E +1.41%K +1.72%G +0.134%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.26%E -0.709%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 02:22
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +3.83%E +0.723%K +0.892%G +0.034%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 02:19
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -0.085%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -9.57%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 02:19
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:19
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -2.21%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -2.21%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 01:55
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 02:24
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -2.04%E -0.409%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.93%E -7.29%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.67%E -2.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 02:15
NordicBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 02:14
Betsson🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -4.98%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.52%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 02:15
Pinnacle🎯4.84I 20.66%NM 19.59%EV -5.18%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.62%EV -5.59%E -3.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.79%EV -4.10%E -0.900%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 02:00
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.96%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.37%E -4.72%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 02:15
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.68%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 02:19
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -9.88%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.89%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 01:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -8.56%E -5.56%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -7.47%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 02:15
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -13.78%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-13 02:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.57%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-13 02:15
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -7.96%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-13 02:19
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 02:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.88%E -3.97%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 02:20
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -15.17%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -8.94%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 02:19
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:19
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:20
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.43%EV -3.21%E -1.97%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 02:19
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -15.76%E -3.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 02:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -16.74%E -3.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 02:19
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 22.98%EV -18.89%E -4.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.02%EV -2.62%E -1.60%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.99%EV +5.36%E +1.07%K +1.34%G +0.072%5.1%2026-08-13 02:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-08-13 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-08-13 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-08-13 02:25
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%2.9%2026-08-13 02:25