Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego FC v Tijuana

2026-08-10 02:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego FC (Local)

Prediction 53.55%1.87fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.19%53.50%53.25%55.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.701.8059.88%58.25%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 22.41%4.46fair odd
EV +0.153%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.044%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%22.51%22.78%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.094.054.4727.40%24.46%24.69%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.75%24.00%23.97%25.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.834.0627.78%26.26%26.14%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego FC (Local): 53.55%; Tijuana (Visit): 22.41%; Draw: 24.04%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.47, producing a positive expected value of +0.153%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.42%EV -10.03%E -5.97%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.83%EV +0.153%E +0.034%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.75%EV -5.76%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 12:57
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -1.42%E -0.322%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.83%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:05
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -1.42%E -0.322%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:51
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -9.50%E -5.62%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -1.42%E -0.322%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.83%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -1.42%E -0.322%K -0.416%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.84%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.53%EV -10.03%E -5.97%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.49%EV -2.76%E -0.636%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.98%EV -2.39%E -0.589%K -0.782%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -9.50%E -5.62%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -3.66%E -0.850%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:15
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -9.50%E -5.62%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -4.78%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.90%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:05
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.58%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -9.26%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.58%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -9.26%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 12:54
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.71%EV -9.50%E -5.62%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.41%EV -9.26%E -2.29%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:04
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 12:54
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.57%E -6.33%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -3.83%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 12:54
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.50%E -2.91%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 12:51
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 12:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.62%E -3.24%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.98%E -4.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.19%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -17.10%E -4.62%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -18.22%E -4.99%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -9.84%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%10.5%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%11.9%2026-08-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%11.9%2026-08-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%11.9%2026-08-08 12:50