Language:English
San Diego FC v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego FC (Local)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.20%44.33%43.85%52.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.772.072.032.2256.50%48.39%49.26%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 30.76%3.25fair odd
EV +13.81%
Edge +3.73%
Kelly +5.12%
Growth +0.707%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%30.31%30.65%32.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.103.7035.71%32.16%32.26%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.402%
Kelly +0.537%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%25.36%25.50%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.34%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego FC (Local): 43.84%; Tijuana (Visit): 30.76%; Draw: 25.40%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -22.41%E -12.66%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +13.81%E +3.73%K +5.12%G +0.707% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +1.61%E +0.402%K +0.537%G +0.009% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.39%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -9.31%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.47%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.64%EV -6.63%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.28%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.28%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -1.44%E -0.371%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -0.930%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-10 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.41%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.41%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.33%E -4.33%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-10 01:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 01:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 1.2% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-10 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |