Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego FC v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC

Score final : San Diego FC 1–0 Tijuana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Diego FC (Local)

Prévision 43.84%2.28cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.20%44.33%43.85%52.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.772.072.032.2256.50%48.39%49.26%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.76%3.25cote équitable
EV +13.81%
Avantage +3.73%
Kelly +5.12%
Croissance +0.707%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%30.31%30.65%32.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.7035.71%32.16%32.26%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV +1.61%
Avantage +0.402%
Kelly +0.537%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.04%25.36%25.50%26.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.34%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Diego FC (Local) : 43.84% ; Tijuana (Visiteur) : 30.76% ; Match nul : 25.40%. Pour Tijuana (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.25. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +13.81%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -22.41%E -12.66%K -29.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +13.81%E +3.73%K +5.12%G +0.707%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +1.61%E +0.402%K +0.537%G +0.009%8.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 01:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 01:54
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.39%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -9.31%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 01:45
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 01:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.47%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 01:45
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.64%EV -6.63%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 01:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 01:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.28%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:45
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.28%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -1.44%E -0.371%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -0.930%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 01:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 01:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 01:44
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 01:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 01:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:54
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.41%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 01:54
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.41%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-10 01:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.33%E -4.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-10 01:44
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 01:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%1.2%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-08-10 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-08-10 01:55