Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego FC v Tijuana

Inizio: 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC

Finale: San Diego FC 1–0 Tijuana

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Diego FC (Casa)

Previsione 43.84%2.28quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.20%44.33%43.85%52.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.772.072.032.2256.50%48.39%49.26%45.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tijuana (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.76%3.25quota equa
EV +13.81%
Vantaggio +3.73%
Kelly +5.12%
Crescita +0.707%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.90%30.31%30.65%32.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.113.103.7035.71%32.16%32.26%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.40%3.94quota equa
EV +1.61%
Vantaggio +0.402%
Kelly +0.537%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.04%25.36%25.50%26.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.34%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: San Diego FC (Casa): 43.84%; Tijuana (Trasferta): 30.76%; Pareggio: 25.40%. Per Tijuana (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.25. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +13.81%.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -22.41%E -12.66%K -29.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +13.81%E +3.73%K +5.12%G +0.707%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV +1.61%E +0.402%K +0.537%G +0.009%8.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 01:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV +1.51%E +0.457%K +0.656%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 01:54
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.39%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.98%EV -9.31%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 01:45
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.030%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 01:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.47%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 01:45
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.64%EV -6.63%E -3.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 01:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 01:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.28%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:45
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.28%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -1.44%E -0.371%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -0.930%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 01:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.72%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 01:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 01:44
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.26%E -3.14%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-10 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 01:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 01:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-10 01:54
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -11.41%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 01:54
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.41%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-10 01:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.33%E -4.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-10 01:44
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 01:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%1.2%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-08-10 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-08-10 01:55