Language:English
Real Salt Lake v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Salt Lake (Local)
Prediction 53.16%1.88fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.66%53.38%52.95%57.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.8261.73%58.81%58.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd
EV +9.86%
Edge +2.07%
Kelly +2.63%
Growth +0.259%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%22.91%23.23%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.254.104.7527.03%23.51%24.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.71%4.22fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.69%23.71%23.81%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.954.004.2027.78%25.33%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Salt Lake (Local): 53.16%; FC Juárez (Visit): 23.13%; Draw: 23.71%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV +9.86%E +2.07%K +2.63%G +0.259% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.39%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.113% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -6.43%E -3.66%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +4.07%E +0.905%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV +0.605%E +0.139%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -0.552%E -0.128%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV -4.92%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.420%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 01:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-12 01:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.04%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.59%EV -6.80%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 01:16 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-12 01:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-12 01:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-12 01:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -11.22%E -6.72%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.22%E -6.72%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-12 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-12 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.95%EV -9.09%E -5.32%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.31%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |