Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Salt Lake v FC Juárez

Início: 2026-08-12 01:30 UTC

Final: Real Salt Lake 3–0 FC Juárez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Previsão 53.16%1.88odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -3.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.66%53.38%52.95%57.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.8261.73%58.81%58.82%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Juárez (Visitante)

Previsão 23.13%4.32odd justa
EV +9.86%
Vantagem +2.07%
Kelly +2.63%
Crescimento +0.259%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.53%22.91%23.23%24.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.254.104.7527.03%23.51%24.39%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.71%4.22odd justa
EV -0.420%
Vantagem -0.100%
Kelly -0.131%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.69%23.71%23.81%24.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.954.004.2027.78%25.33%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Real Salt Lake (Local): 53.16%; FC Juárez (Visitante): 23.13%; Empate: 23.71%. Para FC Juárez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.32. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV +9.86%E +2.07%K +2.63%G +0.259%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:15
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.39%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.113%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -6.43%E -3.66%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +4.07%E +0.905%K +1.16%G +0.047%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 01:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV +0.605%E +0.139%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 01:14
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -0.552%E -0.128%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV -4.92%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.420%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 01:08
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.04%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 01:24
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.59%EV -6.80%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 01:19
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:16
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 01:14
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 01:14
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 01:13
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 01:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -11.22%E -6.72%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-12 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.22%E -6.72%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-12 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:20
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 01:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.95%EV -9.09%E -5.32%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.31%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-12 01:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-08-12 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-08-12 01:25
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-08-12 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%1.8%2026-08-12 01:25