Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Salt Lake v FC Juárez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 01:30 UTC

Score final : Real Salt Lake 3–0 FC Juárez

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Prévision 53.16%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.66%53.38%52.95%57.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.8261.73%58.81%58.82%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Juárez (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.13%4.32cote équitable
EV +9.86%
Avantage +2.07%
Kelly +2.63%
Croissance +0.259%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.53%22.91%23.23%24.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.254.104.7527.03%23.51%24.39%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.420%
Avantage -0.100%
Kelly -0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.69%23.71%23.81%24.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.954.004.2027.78%25.33%25.00%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Real Salt Lake (Local) : 53.16% ; FC Juárez (Visiteur) : 23.13% ; Match nul : 23.71%. Pour FC Juárez (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.32. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.75, soit une espérance positive de +9.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV +9.86%E +2.07%K +2.63%G +0.259%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:15
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +8.70%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.205%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -13.34%E -8.19%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.39%E +1.39%K +1.77%G +0.113%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -6.43%E -3.66%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +4.07%E +0.905%K +1.16%G +0.047%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 01:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.43%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV +0.605%E +0.139%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 01:14
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -4.84%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -0.552%E -0.128%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.96%EV -4.92%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.420%E -0.100%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -2.79%E -0.681%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.18%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 01:08
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.04%EV -10.15%E -6.01%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -6.33%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 01:24
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.59%EV -6.80%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 01:19
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:16
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 01:14
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 01:14
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 01:13
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.62%E -5.66%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 01:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -11.22%E -6.72%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-12 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.22%E -6.72%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-12 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -5.37%E -3.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:20
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 01:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 01:24
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.95%EV -9.09%E -5.32%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.27%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.31%EV -8.56%E -4.98%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.43%E -3.90%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-12 01:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-08-12 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-08-12 01:25
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-08-12 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%1.8%2026-08-12 01:25