StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Union v Necaxa

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 23:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Philadelphia Union 3–1 Necaxa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Union (Hemma)

Prognos 59.80%1.67rättvist odds
EV -1.33%
Fördel -0.805%
Kelly -2.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.26%59.65%59.84%61.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.551.561.6566.67%64.37%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Necaxa (Borta)

Prognos 18.48%5.41rättvist odds
EV -1.32%
Fördel -0.248%
Kelly -0.305%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.34

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.66%18.72%18.39%21.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.965.105.3422.73%20.14%19.61%18.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.72%4.60rättvist odds
EV -0.089%
Fördel -0.019%
Kelly -0.025%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.35%21.63%21.77%23.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.274.254.6025.00%23.42%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Philadelphia Union (Hemma): 59.80%; Necaxa (Borta): 18.48%; Oavgjort: 21.72%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.604. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.600, med väntevärdet -0.089%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -1.33%E -0.805%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 19:59
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.91%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.95%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 23:25
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.38%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.29%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 22:00
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.66%EV -10.93%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.74%EV -0.741%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 23:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 23:16
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.18%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.18%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.61%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:24
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 22:00
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 23:25
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 23:18
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 23:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -2.06%E -0.389%K -0.480%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -0.089%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 23:10
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 23:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 21:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 59.92%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 21.22%-1.8%2026-08-09 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-09 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-09 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-09 23:15