Lingua:Italiano
Philadelphia Union v Necaxa
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Philadelphia Union (Casa)
Previsione 59.80%1.67quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.805%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.26%59.65%59.84%61.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.551.561.6566.67%64.37%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Necaxa (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.48%5.41quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.248%
Kelly -0.305%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.66%18.72%18.39%21.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.965.105.3422.73%20.14%19.61%18.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 21.72%4.60quota equa
EV -0.089%
Vantaggio -0.019%
Kelly -0.025%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.35%21.63%21.77%23.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.274.254.6025.00%23.42%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Philadelphia Union (Casa): 59.80%; Necaxa (Trasferta): 18.48%; Pareggio: 21.72%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.604. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.600, con un valore atteso del -0.089%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -1.33%E -0.805%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.91%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.95%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.38%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.29%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.66%EV -10.93%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.74%EV -0.741%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 23:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.18%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.18%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.61%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 23:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 23:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -2.06%E -0.389%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -0.089%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 59.92% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 21.22% | -1.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |