Langue:Français
Philadelphia Union v Necaxa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Philadelphia Union (Local)
Prévision 59.80%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.805%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.26%59.65%59.84%61.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.561.6566.67%64.37%64.10%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Necaxa (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.48%5.41cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.248%
Kelly -0.305%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.66%18.72%18.39%21.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.965.105.3422.73%20.14%19.61%18.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.72%4.60cote équitable
EV -0.089%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.35%21.63%21.77%23.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.274.254.6025.00%23.42%23.53%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Union (Local) : 59.80% ; Necaxa (Visiteur) : 18.48% ; Match nul : 21.72%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.604. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.600, pour une espérance de -0.089% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -1.33%E -0.805%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.91%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.95%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.38%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.29%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.66%EV -10.93%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.74%EV -0.741%E -0.162%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 23:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.18%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.61%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -4.83%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -1.18%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.61%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 23:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -7.31%E -4.71%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 23:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -18.69%E -4.25%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -2.06%E -0.389%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -0.089%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -8.53%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.61%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.23%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.85%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 21:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 59.92% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 21.22% | -1.8% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 23:15 |