Language:English
New York City FC v Necaxa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York City FC (Local)
Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.61%55.54%55.59%58.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.651.7362.11%60.46%60.61%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Necaxa (Visit)
Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV +5.54%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 5.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%20.80%20.89%22.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.464.505.0725.00%22.44%22.22%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +0.397%
Edge +0.093%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%23.66%23.53%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.004.004.2528.57%25.00%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York City FC (Local): 55.56%; Necaxa (Visit): 20.82%; Draw: 23.62%. For Necaxa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.31%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.66%EV +5.54%E +1.09%K +1.36%G +0.075% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.03%EV -10.71%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.20%EV -9.44%E -5.79%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.82%EV +4.91%E +0.975%K +1.22%G +0.060% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.97%EV -2.44%E -0.590%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.22%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.22%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -3.20%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.76%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.24%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 23:16 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.397%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 23:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 23:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.37%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.37%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.41%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.32%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 23:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |