Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York City FC v Necaxa

Início: 2026-08-13 23:30 UTC

Final: New York City FC 1–2 Necaxa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York City FC (Local)

Previsão 55.56%1.80odd justa
EV -3.88%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -5.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.61%55.54%55.59%58.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.651.651.7362.11%60.46%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Necaxa (Visitante)

Previsão 20.82%4.80odd justa
EV +5.54%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.66%20.80%20.89%22.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.464.505.0725.00%22.44%22.22%19.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.62%4.23odd justa
EV +0.397%
Vantagem +0.093%
Kelly +0.122%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.12%23.66%23.53%25.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.504.004.004.2528.57%25.00%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York City FC (Local): 55.56%; Necaxa (Visitante): 20.82%; Empate: 23.62%. Para Necaxa (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.80. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.07, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.31%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.66%EV +5.54%E +1.09%K +1.36%G +0.075%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.03%EV -10.71%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 23:25
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.20%EV -9.44%E -5.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.82%EV +4.91%E +0.975%K +1.22%G +0.060%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.97%EV -2.44%E -0.590%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.22%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.22%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -3.20%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 23:13
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.76%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 23:24
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.24%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.397%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 23:18
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:24
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 23:19
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:23
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 23:24
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 23:19
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-13 23:19
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 23:24
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.37%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.37%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.41%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-13 23:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.32%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 23:24
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 23:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-13 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-13 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 23:24
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 23:20
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 23:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-13 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-13 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-13 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-08-13 23:25