Idioma:Español
New York City FC v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York City FC (Local)
Predicción 55.56%1.80momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -5.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.61%55.54%55.59%58.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.651.651.7362.11%60.46%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 20.82%4.80momio equitativo
EV +5.54%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.66%20.80%20.89%22.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.464.505.0725.00%22.44%22.22%19.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV +0.397%
Ventaja +0.093%
Kelly +0.122%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.12%23.66%23.53%25.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.504.004.004.2528.57%25.00%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York City FC (Local): 55.56%; Necaxa (Visitante): 20.82%; Empate: 23.62%. Para Necaxa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.80. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.07, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.54%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.31%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.66%EV +5.54%E +1.09%K +1.36%G +0.075% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.03%EV -10.71%E -2.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.20%EV -9.44%E -5.79%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.82%EV +4.91%E +0.975%K +1.22%G +0.060% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.97%EV -2.44%E -0.590%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.22%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.05%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.22%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -3.20%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.76%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -4.99%E -2.92%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.24%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 23:16 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +0.397%E +0.093%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 23:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.784%E -0.187%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 23:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.37%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -6.66%E -3.96%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.37%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.41%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-13 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.32%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.77%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.32%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 23:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.88%E -5.41%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.99%E -6.17%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -10.55%E -6.55%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.73%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.23%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 23:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 23:25 |