默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Monterrey v Chicago Fire

开赛时间: 2026-08-26 00:40 UTC

最终结果: Monterrey 2–1 Chicago Fire

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Monterrey (主队)

预测 35.04%2.85公平赔率
EV -3.64%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
33.82%35.07%35.04%36.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.632.652.7540.82%37.97%37.74%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Fire (客队)

预测 39.02%2.56公平赔率
EV -2.46%
优势 -0.984%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.65%39.03%38.90%40.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.372.402.5045.45%42.24%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.94%3.85公平赔率
EV -2.19%
优势 -0.581%
Kelly -0.791%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.77

博彩公司预测分布
25.06%25.90%26.06%26.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.553.553.7730.30%28.17%28.17%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Monterrey (主队):35.04%;Chicago Fire (客队):39.02%;平局:25.94%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.85。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.77,期望值为-2.19%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 00:29
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.80%EV -4.34%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.19%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -5.56%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 00:29
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.63%EV -5.04%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.94%EV -5.97%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 00:39
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 00:39
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 00:32
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 00:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 00:29
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 00:27
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -2.19%E -0.581%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -2.19%E -0.581%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 00:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 00:34
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 00:04
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 22:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -7.85%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-26 00:34
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-26 00:34
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.46%E -0.984%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 00:17
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 00:39
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 00:33
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 00:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 00:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-26 00:34
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:33
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:33
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -14.15%E -5.78%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-26 00:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-08-26 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%2.4%2026-08-26 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%2.8%2026-08-26 00:39
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%5.4%2026-08-26 00:39