Idioma:Español
Monterrey v Chicago Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monterrey (Local)
Predicción 35.04%2.85momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.82%35.07%35.04%36.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.652.7540.82%37.97%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 39.02%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.984%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%39.03%38.90%40.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.402.5045.45%42.24%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.94%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.581%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.06%25.90%26.06%26.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.553.7730.30%28.17%28.17%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Monterrey (Local): 35.04%; Chicago Fire (Visitante): 39.02%; Empate: 25.94%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.85. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.77, con un valor esperado de -2.19%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.80%EV -4.34%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.19%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -5.56%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.63%EV -5.04%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.94%EV -5.97%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 00:32 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 00:27 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -2.19%E -0.581%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -2.19%E -0.581%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-26 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-26 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-25 22:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -7.85%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.46%E -0.984%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 00:17 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-26 00:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-26 00:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-26 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-26 00:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-25 22:33 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-25 22:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -14.15%E -5.78%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04% | 2.4% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.10% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 2.8% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 00:39 |