Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey v Chicago Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-26 00:40 UTC

Score final : Monterrey 2–1 Chicago Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 35.04%2.85cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.82%35.07%35.04%36.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.652.7540.82%37.97%37.74%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.02%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.65%39.03%38.90%40.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.402.5045.45%42.24%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -0.791%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.06%25.90%26.06%26.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.553.7730.30%28.17%28.17%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Monterrey (Local) : 35.04% ; Chicago Fire (Visiteur) : 39.02% ; Match nul : 25.94%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.77, pour une espérance de -2.19% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 00:29
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.80%EV -4.34%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.19%E -2.14%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -5.56%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 00:29
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.63%EV -5.04%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.94%EV -5.97%E -2.48%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 00:39
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 00:39
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 00:32
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 00:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 00:29
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 00:27
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -2.19%E -0.581%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.84%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.24%EV -2.19%E -0.581%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 00:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 00:34
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 00:34
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 00:04
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.14%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-25 22:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -7.85%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-26 00:34
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.20%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-26 00:34
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -2.46%E -0.984%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 00:17
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.31%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 00:39
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 00:33
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 00:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.65%E -4.18%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 00:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-26 00:34
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:33
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.40%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:33
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -14.15%E -5.78%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-26 00:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-08-26 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%2.4%2026-08-26 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%2.8%2026-08-26 00:39
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%5.4%2026-08-26 00:39