Language:English
Los Angeles FC v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles FC (Local)
Prediction 34.80%2.87fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.79%34.89%34.82%36.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.722.8040.00%37.27%36.76%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 39.04%2.56fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.871%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.29%39.06%38.95%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.6244.44%42.40%42.55%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +0.705%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%26.04%26.23%27.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.593.9031.25%27.95%27.86%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles FC (Local): 34.80%; Guadalajara (Visit): 39.04%; Draw: 26.16%. For Guadalajara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.85%EV -10.23%E -3.96%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV +2.28%E +0.871%K +1.41%G +0.032% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -0.450%E -0.176%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 02:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.81%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.81%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -8.14%E -3.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -0.573%E -0.151%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -8.14%E -3.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -0.573%E -0.151%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 02:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 02:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV +2.04%E +0.524%K +0.705%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 02:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-06 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 02:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-06 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -12.16%E -5.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 02:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.16%E -5.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -3.19%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
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