The School of Odds
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Los Angeles FC v Guadalajara

2026-08-06 02:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%40.90%40.95%41.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.252.3545.45%44.46%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Visit)

Prediction 33.08%3.02fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%33.20%33.11%33.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.772.752.9037.04%36.07%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.01%3.84fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.415%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.57%25.89%25.94%27.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.553.8030.30%28.49%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles FC (Local): 40.91%; Guadalajara (Visit): 33.08%; Draw: 26.01%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -1.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:35
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.70%EV -6.32%E -2.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -6.72%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:10
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -6.72%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -6.72%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -6.72%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.16%E -0.306%K -0.415%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:15
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.95%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 18:04
ReBet2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -8.36%E -3.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.30%EV -9.69%E -3.55%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.12%EV -9.49%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 20:14
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.17%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%2.66I 37.59%NM 33.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%13.3%2026-08-02 16:35