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Los Angeles FC v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles FC (Local)
Predicción 34.80%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.918%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.79%34.89%34.82%36.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.722.8040.00%37.27%36.76%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 39.04%2.56momio equitativo
EV +2.28%
Ventaja +0.871%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.29%39.06%38.95%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.352.6244.44%42.40%42.55%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV +2.04%
Ventaja +0.524%
Kelly +0.705%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.17%26.04%26.23%27.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.583.593.9031.25%27.95%27.86%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles FC (Local): 34.80%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 39.04%; Empate: 26.16%. Para Guadalajara (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.56. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.85%EV -10.23%E -3.96%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV +2.28%E +0.871%K +1.41%G +0.032% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -0.450%E -0.176%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 02:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.81%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.81%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -8.14%E -3.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -0.573%E -0.151%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -8.14%E -3.08%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -0.573%E -0.151%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 02:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 02:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV +2.04%E +0.524%K +0.705%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 02:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-06 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 02:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-06 02:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-06 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -12.16%E -5.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 02:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.16%E -5.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -3.19%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 02:30 |