Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles FC v Guadalajara

Início: 2026-08-06 02:40 UTC

Final: Los Angeles FC 1–1 Guadalajara

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Previsão 34.80%2.87odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -0.918%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.79%34.89%34.82%36.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.722.8040.00%37.27%36.76%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Guadalajara (Visitante)

Previsão 39.04%2.56odd justa
EV +2.28%
Vantagem +0.871%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.29%39.06%38.95%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.362.352.6244.44%42.40%42.55%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.16%3.82odd justa
EV +2.04%
Vantagem +0.524%
Kelly +0.705%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.17%26.04%26.23%27.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.583.593.9031.25%27.95%27.86%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles FC (Local): 34.80%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 39.04%; Empate: 26.16%. Para Guadalajara (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.56. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.62, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.85%EV -10.23%E -3.96%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV +2.28%E +0.871%K +1.41%G +0.032%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 02:29
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -0.450%E -0.176%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 02:36
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.81%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.81%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 02:05
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -8.14%E -3.08%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -0.573%E -0.151%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 02:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -8.14%E -3.08%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -0.573%E -0.151%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 02:30
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 02:38
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 02:28
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 01:15
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.97%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 01:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 02:29
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 01:30
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 02:05
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV +2.04%E +0.524%K +0.705%G +0.014%5.9%2026-08-06 02:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 02:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 02:00
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 02:00
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 02:35
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 02:15
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 02:38
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.84%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 02:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-06 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-06 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 02:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 02:29
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-06 02:29
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-06 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -12.16%E -5.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.684%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 02:28
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -12.16%E -5.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -3.19%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-06 02:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-08-06 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-08-06 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-08-06 02:15
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-08-06 02:30