Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF v Monterrey

2026-08-09 00:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prediction 53.55%1.87fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.29%53.32%53.54%54.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.731.7859.52%57.85%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Visit)

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.88%24.85%24.87%25.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.683.753.9028.99%27.17%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.02%21.82%21.59%23.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.144.254.4026.32%24.14%23.53%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Inter Miami CF (Local): 53.55%; Monterrey (Visit): 24.86%; Draw: 21.59%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -3.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.99%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 11:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.98%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.08%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 11:29
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -6.07%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 11:30
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.77%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -6.07%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 11:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 11:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -7.37%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.94%E -4.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 12:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -7.37%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.94%E -4.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -7.37%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.94%E -4.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -7.37%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.94%E -4.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 12:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -8.44%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.04%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 11:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.44%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.23%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 11:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.15%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -9.31%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%11.4%2026-08-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 51.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 24.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 24.40%93.3%2026-08-06 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-06 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-06 11:40