Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Miami CF v Monterrey

Início: 2026-08-09 00:00 UTC

Final: Inter Miami CF 1–2 Monterrey

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Previsão 40.78%2.45odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -0.886%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.52%40.96%40.84%43.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.192.4047.62%44.94%45.66%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Monterrey (Visitante)

Previsão 35.43%2.82odd justa
EV -0.798%
Vantagem -0.285%
Kelly -0.443%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.57%35.28%35.45%37.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.45%37.31%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.79%4.20odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.365%
Kelly -0.481%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.02%23.76%23.71%24.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.903.954.1427.03%25.62%25.32%24.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Inter Miami CF (Local): 40.78%; Monterrey (Visitante): 35.43%; Empate: 23.79%. Para Monterrey (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.80, com valor esperado de -0.798%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -2.13%E -0.886%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -9.30%E -3.63%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.03%EV -1.51%E -0.365%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%EV -2.13%E -0.886%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -9.30%E -3.63%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.03%EV -1.51%E -0.365%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.28%EV -2.53%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.99%E -1.47%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 23:50
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -4.17%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 23:49
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 23:50
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 23:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.20%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 23:54
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.93%EV -5.05%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 23:50
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.93%EV -5.05%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 23:50
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.43%E -3.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.66%EV -2.92%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.89%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 23:54
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.65%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 23:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 23:54
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 23:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%EV -9.65%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 23:49
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.65%E -3.79%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 23:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -11.10%E -5.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -11.51%E -5.30%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.74%EV -2.57%E -0.934%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 23:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -2.57%E -0.934%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 23:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 23:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 23:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -0.798%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 43.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 31.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 24.98%-4.7%2026-08-08 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 23:50