Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF v Atlético San Luis

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 23:30 UTC

Final: Inter Miami CF 4–2 Atlético San Luis

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prediction 71.91%1.39fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -13.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.66%71.78%72.11%74.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3381.97%77.18%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 12.63%7.92fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +0.863%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.03%12.67%12.40%14.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.467.508.5016.00%13.41%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.46%6.47fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.227%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.18%15.55%15.48%17.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.835.786.5520.00%17.15%17.32%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Inter Miami CF (Local): 71.91%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 12.63%; Draw: 15.46%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.92. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.34%E +0.863%K +0.978%G +0.072%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +7.34%E +0.863%K +0.978%G +0.072%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -18.84%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -10.83%E -8.73%K -45.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +0.487%E +0.075%K +0.089%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.53%EV +1.26%E +0.192%K +0.227%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-05 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.53%EV +1.26%E +0.192%K +0.227%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.15%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.58%EV +0.796%E +0.122%K +0.144%G +0.001%5.2%2026-08-05 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.487%E +0.075%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.17%EV -10.11%E -8.09%K -40.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 23:15
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.93%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.88%EV -6.93%E -0.941%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:25
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.40%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.81%EV -9.71%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.65%EV -9.56%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.10%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -10.34%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -8.79%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.10%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -10.34%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -8.79%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -12.27%E -10.05%K -55.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.07%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.53%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%1.8%2026-08-05 23:25

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