Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Miami CF v Atlético San Luis

Início: 2026-08-05 23:30 UTC

Final: Inter Miami CF 4–2 Atlético San Luis

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Previsão 71.91%1.39odd justa
EV -4.36%
Vantagem -3.28%
Kelly -13.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.66%71.78%72.11%74.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.301.301.3381.97%77.18%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlético San Luis (Visitante)

Previsão 12.63%7.92odd justa
EV +7.34%
Vantagem +0.863%
Kelly +0.978%
Crescimento +0.072%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.03%12.67%12.40%14.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.257.467.508.5016.00%13.41%13.33%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.46%6.47odd justa
EV +1.26%
Vantagem +0.192%
Kelly +0.227%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.18%15.55%15.48%17.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.835.786.5520.00%17.15%17.32%15.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Inter Miami CF (Local): 71.91%; Atlético San Luis (Visitante): 12.63%; Empate: 15.46%. Para Atlético San Luis (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.92. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.34%E +0.863%K +0.978%G +0.072%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +7.34%E +0.863%K +0.978%G +0.072%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -18.84%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -10.83%E -8.73%K -45.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +0.487%E +0.075%K +0.089%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.53%EV +1.26%E +0.192%K +0.227%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-05 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.53%EV +1.26%E +0.192%K +0.227%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.15%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.58%EV +0.796%E +0.122%K +0.144%G +0.001%5.2%2026-08-05 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.487%E +0.075%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.17%EV -10.11%E -8.09%K -40.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 23:15
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.93%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.88%EV -6.93%E -0.941%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:25
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.40%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.81%EV -9.71%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.65%EV -9.56%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.10%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -10.34%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -8.79%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.10%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -10.34%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -8.79%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -12.27%E -10.05%K -55.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.07%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.53%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%1.8%2026-08-05 23:25