Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Inter Miami CF v Atlético San Luis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 23:30 UTC

Score final : Inter Miami CF 4–2 Atlético San Luis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prévision 71.91%1.39cote équitable
EV -4.36%
Avantage -3.28%
Kelly -13.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.66%71.78%72.11%74.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.301.301.3381.97%77.18%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.63%7.92cote équitable
EV +7.34%
Avantage +0.863%
Kelly +0.978%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.03%12.67%12.40%14.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.257.467.508.5016.00%13.41%13.33%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.46%6.47cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.192%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 6.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.18%15.55%15.48%17.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.835.786.5520.00%17.15%17.32%15.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Inter Miami CF (Local) : 71.91% ; Atlético San Luis (Visiteur) : 12.63% ; Match nul : 15.46%. Pour Atlético San Luis (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.92. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +7.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.34%E +0.863%K +0.978%G +0.072%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV +7.34%E +0.863%K +0.978%G +0.072%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -18.84%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.31%EV -10.83%E -8.73%K -45.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +1.02%E +0.128%K +0.146%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +0.487%E +0.075%K +0.089%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.53%EV +1.26%E +0.192%K +0.227%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-05 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.53%EV +1.26%E +0.192%K +0.227%G +0.003%5.1%2026-08-05 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.15%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -2.13%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.58%EV +0.796%E +0.122%K +0.144%G +0.001%5.2%2026-08-05 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.487%E +0.075%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.17%EV -10.11%E -8.09%K -40.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.29%E -0.705%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 23:15
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.93%EV -5.08%E -3.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.88%EV -6.93%E -0.941%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -3.38%E -0.540%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:25
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.40%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 12.81%EV -9.71%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.65%EV -9.56%E -1.63%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.10%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -10.34%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -8.79%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.10%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.12%EV -10.34%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -8.79%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -4.36%E -3.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.11%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -6.51%E -5.01%K -21.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -12.27%E -10.05%K -55.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.60%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.92%E -2.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -7.23%E -5.61%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-05 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.07%EV -5.79%E -4.42%K -18.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -7.95%E -6.21%K -28.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -21.08%E -3.37%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.9%2026-08-05 23:20
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.53%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%1.8%2026-08-05 23:25