Language:English
Guadalajara v FC Dallas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Guadalajara (Local)
Prediction 62.22%1.61fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.26%62.04%62.29%63.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.96%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Dallas (Visit)
Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.607%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.17%17.12%18.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.255.106.0020.83%19.06%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.60%4.85fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.289%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%20.79%20.59%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.354.8025.00%22.72%22.99%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guadalajara (Local): 62.22%; FC Dallas (Visit): 17.17%; Draw: 20.60%. For FC Dallas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.10%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.40%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.763%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.763%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 00:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.33%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.98%EV -4.18%E -0.749%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.57%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.57%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -12.43%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 00:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -9.15%E -6.27%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.29%E -4.89%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 00:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.87%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 00:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -11.40%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 00:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.43%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.53%E -5.80%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.40%E -7.22%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.40%E -7.22%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.15%E -6.27%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -15.85%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.98% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 00:50 |