Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Guadalajara v FC Dallas

Inizio: 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC

Finale: Guadalajara 0–1 FC Dallas

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

41 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Guadalajara (Casa)

Previsione 62.22%1.61quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -5.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.26%62.04%62.29%63.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.96%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Dallas (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.17%5.82quota equa
EV +3.04%
Vantaggio +0.506%
Kelly +0.607%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.73%17.17%17.12%18.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.255.106.0020.83%19.06%19.61%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.60%4.85quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.229%
Kelly -0.289%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.90%20.79%20.59%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.404.354.8025.00%22.72%22.99%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Guadalajara (Casa): 62.22%; FC Dallas (Trasferta): 17.17%; Pareggio: 20.60%. Per FC Dallas (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.82. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.04%.

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 00:50
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.10%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.40%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.763%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.763%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 00:44
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.33%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.98%EV -4.18%E -0.749%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.57%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:40
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.57%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -12.43%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 00:45
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 00:54
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -9.15%E -6.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 00:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 00:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.29%E -4.89%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 00:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.87%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:34
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -11.40%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 00:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.43%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.53%E -5.80%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 00:39
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.40%E -7.22%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.40%E -7.22%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.15%E -6.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -15.85%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 00:39
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 00:55
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.98%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%1.5%2026-08-09 00:50