Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guadalajara v FC Dallas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC

Score final : Guadalajara 0–1 FC Dallas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guadalajara (Local)

Prévision 62.22%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -5.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.26%62.04%62.29%63.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.5669.44%65.96%65.79%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Dallas (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.17%5.82cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.506%
Kelly +0.607%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.73%17.17%17.12%18.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.255.106.0020.83%19.06%19.61%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.60%4.85cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.289%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%20.79%20.59%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.354.8025.00%22.72%22.99%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Guadalajara (Local) : 62.22% ; FC Dallas (Visiteur) : 17.17% ; Match nul : 20.60%. Pour FC Dallas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.82. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 00:50
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.04%E +0.506%K +0.607%G +0.018%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.22%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.10%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -1.10%E -0.229%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 00:40
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -1.26%E -0.219%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.40%EV -3.37%E -0.718%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.763%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.04%E -4.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.763%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -2.12%E -0.371%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.16%E -0.672%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 00:44
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.33%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.98%EV -4.18%E -0.749%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.57%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:40
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.57%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.55%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -12.43%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 00:45
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -5.42%E -3.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 00:54
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -9.15%E -6.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -7.27%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 00:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.80%E -3.14%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 00:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.29%E -4.89%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 00:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.87%EV -7.91%E -5.34%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -9.84%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.52%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:34
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.23%EV -3.55%E -2.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -4.18%E -2.71%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -12.42%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -11.40%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 00:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -2.93%E -1.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.43%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.53%E -5.80%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 00:39
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.40%E -7.22%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.40%E -7.22%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.14%E -2.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.28%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.36%EV -9.15%E -6.27%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -15.85%E -3.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.34%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 00:39
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -6.67%E -4.44%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.57%E -3.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.58%E -4.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 00:55
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.98%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%1.5%2026-08-09 00:50