Language:English
FC Cincinnati v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati (Local)
Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.67%42.62%42.34%45.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.102.3050.00%47.05%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 32.38%3.09fair odd
EV +0.705%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.51%32.26%32.39%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.933.003.1136.36%34.14%33.33%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.28%3.96fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%25.13%25.27%26.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.874.0030.30%26.62%25.84%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Cincinnati (Local): 42.34%; Pachuca (Visit): 32.38%; Draw: 25.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.15%EV -12.79%E -6.21%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.97%EV -10.67%E -5.06%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.51%EV +0.705%E +0.227%K +0.334%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -2.15%E -0.556%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -13.21%E -6.44%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -15.33%E -7.66%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.98%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-04 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-04 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
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